Consumer inflation in Pakistan has surged to nearly 11 percent, marking a significant economic challenge as it returns to double digits for the first time in 21 months. The last time inflation exceeded this threshold was in July 2024.
As of early Tuesday, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) recorded an annual increase of nearly 11 percent for April 2026. This rise is attributed to sharp increases in energy prices, partly due to the blockage of the Strait of Hormuz.
The State Bank of Pakistan responded by raising its policy rate from 10.50 percent to 11.50 percent. This measure aims to combat rising inflation and meet commitments made to the International Monetary Fund.
Urban areas experienced an inflation rate of 11.11 percent, while rural areas saw a lower rate of 10.56 percent. Food inflation also escalated, increasing by 6.9 percent in urban regions and 7.3 percent in rural regions.
The core inflation rate stood at 8 percent in urban areas and 8.5 percent in rural areas as of April.
Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif noted that the weekly oil import bill has soared to $800 million from $300 million since the onset of the US-Israel war on February 28.
Dr. Ashfaq H. Khan commented on the situation, stating, “Interest rates are a demand-side tool, effective when demand exceeds supply.” He emphasized that the recent rate hike was necessary given the current economic climate.
The euro area annual inflation is projected at 3.0 percent for April 2026, up from 2.6 percent in March.
The rise in consumer prices poses a critical challenge for policymakers as they navigate these economic pressures.